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  DOI Prefix   10.20431


 

International Journal of Managerial Studies and Research
Volume 5, Issue 6, 2017, Page No: 1-13
doi:dx.doi.org/10.20431/2349-0349.0506001

Macroeconomic Variables Volatility in the Nigerian Stock Market; An Empirical Analysis

Izunobi Anthony Okechukwu1,Nzotta Samuel Mbadike2,Ebiringa Oforegbunam Thaddeus3,Akujuobi Aghalugbulam Bonaventure Chidiebere4,Chigbu Emmanuel ezeji5

Department of Financial Management Technology Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Nigeria

Citation :Izunobi Anthony Okechukwu,et.al, Macroeconomic Variables Volatility in the Nigerian Stock Market; An Empirical Analysis International Journal of Managerial Studies and Research 2017,5(6) : 1-13

Abstract

The study employed the GARCH (1,1) and E-GARCH model techniques to establish that three macroeconomic variables interest rate, inflation rate and stock market return are volatile, the objective of this study is to determine the magnitude and behavioural pattern of these macroeconomic variables, using monthly series data from 1995-2014.This study examined macroeconomic variables volatility in the Nigerian stock market. It was established that inflation rate and interest rate were volatile and moved in clusters otherwise known as volatility Clustering. It was also observed that the volatility of inflation rate and interest rate returned to the mean of the variance equation earlier than the volatility in the stock market returns take in reverting to the equilibrium. We thus, conclude that there is high and persistent volatility in the stock market returns. Inflation and interest rate was also found to have significant impact on stock market returns volatility.


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